/item can show item-specific details.
Crime success
Fenrir’s Fang and active Mead each add 10 percentage points to success, up to a 95% cap. A failed smuggling, car theft, jewellery store, or bank robbery can also be fatal; the conditional death chance is 14%, 17%, 20%, or 30%, respectively. Those death rolls happen only after the crime fails.
Expedition outcomes
Each successful expedition makes the listed number of item rolls. The per-roll chance is independent of which item is selected from that tier’s loot table.
The final column is calculated as
(1 - disaster chance) x (1 - (1 - item chance)^rolls). Mjolnir halves the disaster chance, and Dragon Figurehead adds an item roll, so a member’s actual odds may differ.
Work item drops
The chance of receiving any job item on a shift varies by job:Other risks
Some items prevent or modify these outcomes. For example, a Halibut prevents fishing-pole breaks, a Bear Pelt prevents hunting injuries, and a Camo Cloak prevents hunting accidents. These figures are base values and may change with active perks.